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Thursday, April 28, 2022

Guest Post - Ukraine: Is Russia Desperate?

Poland has sent T-72 tanks to Ukraine as the country defends itself against a Russian invasion.
(Polish Armed Forces)
(Source)

Ewok report, part ? I stopped counting ...¹

I'll try to keep it short, but the events seem to be accelerating again... Besides some hard , but inconclusive fighting in the East of Ukraine, and Russia targeting rail infrastructure with barrage of ballistic and cruise missiles ...

First:

https://www.politico.eu/article/poland-russia-gas-europe-halt-shipments-ukraine-war/

Russia has decided to preempt EU embargoes and embargoed itself.

I presume this is warning shot towards Germany, but it might backfire if EU shows solidarity here... Mind you, Poland was on a track to decouple from Russian gas anyway, with Norway-to Poland pipeline about to be operational this year, and LNG deliveries from US and Qatar ...

Second:

It might be in reaction to this news:

https://www.defensenews.com/land/2022/04/26/poland-confirms-t-72-tank-delivery-to-ukraine-with-challenger-2-tanks-to-fill-gap/

Since UK has not much use for tanks in home islands, this might be a good trade. Will make Polish logistics a bit strained, though, trying to operate Leopard , Abrams and Challenger at same time ...

Third:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/26/germany-to-supply-ukraine-with-heavy-weaponry-for-first-time

Even Germany seems to be waking up ... To what extent, it shall be seen ...

Fourth:

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/large-fire-oil-depot-russias-bryansk-near-ukraine-agencies-2022-04-25/

Yet another suspicious fuel depot fire ? I see a pattern here ...

Fifth:

www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/04/26/fuel-and-ammo-depots-keep-blowing-up-in-russia-ukraines-ballistic-missiles-might-be-why/

And this might be why ...

Sixth:

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/explosions-separatist-trans-dniester-ukraine-84311604

Another front ready to go? Though Transnistria itself is quite isolated from Russian "mainland" ...

That's all for now and see you next week!





¹ This is #9, I'm counting for you Paweł. - Sarge

9 comments:

  1. Thanks Pawel for all the work you're doing here.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Pawel, echoing Nylon12. Thank you. It is a very rare thing to be able to get a view from the ground by a reliable source.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thank you, Pawel!
    Oh, Dear, we appear to be living in Interesting Times.

    ReplyDelete
  4. So claims are that now Ukraine has more armor in theater than Russia.
    And is taking their ball into the Russian backfield.
    What a difference a month makes.

    Getting more 🍿

    ReplyDelete
  5. Thank you, Pawel. I look forward to your posts.

    ReplyDelete
  6. When Russia starts banning natural gas exports to Poland, and other embargoes, it's bringing the war to more than just Ukraine. On another note, a US Marine was killed in Ukraine, but he was fighting for Ukraine, not as part of some US force in country.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Tuna, Former British Royal Marine also killed this week during a Russian bombardment.

      Delete
  7. Hi Pawel. Any advance on the Russian news report that the ‘Moskva’ was sunk by a fire caused by a carelessly discarded cigarette?

    ReplyDelete

Just be polite... that's all I ask. (For Buck)
Can't be nice, go somewhere else...

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