Friday, February 17, 2023
Dodged a Bullet ...
Thursday, February 16, 2023
At the End ...
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| Napoleon's last grand attack at Waterloo Ernest Crofts (Source) |
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| Napoleon at Waterloo, 1815 Mezzotint by Jazet after Steuben (Source) |
Wednesday, February 15, 2023
What? Balloons?
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| A Spad XIII of the 22nd Aero Squadron in combat. Charles R. "Chuck" Faust (Source) |
Tuesday, February 14, 2023
Ukraine - The View from Poland, February Update
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| A soldier walks along Ukrainian armored vehicles blocking a street in Kyiv, Ukraine, Saturday, Feb. 26, 2022. Russian troops stormed toward Ukraine's capital Saturday, and street fighting broke out as city officials urged residents to take shelter. (AP Photo/Efrem Lukatsky) (Source) |
This is
your humble correspondent, observing events in Ukraine and elsewhere concerning
the biggest war in Europe since 1945.
1. The
Leopard drama concludes.
Germans finally gave up under pressure from both US and the likes of Poland and Baltics. Leopard 2s are heading into Ukraine soon, along with token Challenger 2 (14) and Abrams (31) contingents. Supporting them will be at least 88 Leopard 1s (possibly more if either Turkey or Greece will be convinced to part with them).
The older 1a5 Leopards lack the heavy armor protection but have been modernised to have pretty much same advanced sensors, sights and stabilisation which means that they enjoy both target acquisition and accuracy advantage over most Russian tanks,
The tanks will need to be trained with the new Ukrainian crews, indeed as I write
Poland is already training Ukrainian tankmen.
2. Zelensky
tours Western Europe:
Zelensky, having secured tanks pleads for modern fighters. Apart from look-down shoot-down capability to hunt cruise missiles, those would be possibly able to run gauntlet of Russian air defenses and finish off the damaged Crimea bridge. This together with longer range missiles like ground launched small diameter bomb (also in the newest US delivery list) breaking the railway links on the Azov Sea coast might see Russians supply lines to Crimea critically compromised (Russia is HEAVILY relying on railways for logistics, trucks are in short supply, and needed for the "last miles" from railheads anyway.
3. Russian
Army gets ready for "Anniversary Offensive"
Eastern front in the Donbas seems to be the place, with elements of 3rd and 144th Motor Rifle Divisions, 90th Tank Division, and 76th Airborne Division spotted in the area.
It seems that after letting the Wagner Group bleed itself dry out of convicts recruited for the war, and weaken somewhat Ukrainians in the process, regular Army is wanting to do finally some combined arms offensive, with time moment chosen to either commemorate anniversary of war, or simply to get things done before March snows melting turn the steppe into sea of mud. And before western MBT arrive , too.
How will they fare, might be indicative of entire war course to come. If Russia one year into the war fails badly at combined arms offensive, this will mean pretty much they are incapable of learning and doomed to fail. If they succeed in major way, clearing rest of the Donbas of Ukrainian troops, Russia can declare victory and ask for peace. If they do some minor gains, but not enough to declare victory, expect more of carnage in the year to come, or maybe into more years to come.
4. Balloon
d'essai.
This one will possibly impact Ukraine indirectly, as US will have to keep eye open on China and get ready for possible Taiwan war.
My US audience is better than me familiar with the whole saga of Winnie the pooh and USAF bees.
what made me go hhmm, is the follow up:
2 separate shootdowns over Alaska and Canada within 48 hours.
This seems to be much more massive operation by the Chinese, not one-off accident.
USAF was definitely told to this time take gloves off and go anti-Kaijiu mode - kill anything that comes from the Pacific and is not confirmed normal civilian flight.
That's all
and I will keep eyes open for the developments in next weeks.
Paweł aka
Ewok
Monday, February 13, 2023
Progress, even though slow, is Good!
Apparently, Sarge is on an Military Art Binge and has used his VAST editorial powers to decree that Paintings Week shall continue this next week. Being the loyal minion that I am, (Beans, you keep silent, hear?) I shall thus conscientiously endeavor to comply with said decree.
Ergo.
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| Click here for Larger Scale picture and description |
So.... ;-)
Think I'll start with a bit of updating on the day to day rhythm here at Rancho Juvat lately. Miss B and LJW are ensconced in one of our guest houses. It's a bit smaller and less populated than our house (8 beings reside in our house, two in the guest house), so equipment is easier to reposition and since it's smaller, the connections don't need to be as long, the requirement to move the equipment is reduced. Much easier to get around if you don't have to move both an infant and equipment at the same time. Also, Mrs. J goes down there regularly to help with the feedings.
Speaking of feedings, consuming all Miss B's food through the mouth rather than through a cannula is one of the key markers for getting released from house jail, which will do wonders for the mental health of all concerned. No longer requiring Oxygen supplementation is the other. Progress is occurring in both categories. Not there yet, but Progress IS progressing.
So...as the saying goes "Every day, in every way, we get (a little) better and better." Thank you, Lord.
That notwithstanding, Mrs. J and I had a very enjoyable breakfast Sunday morning. It's been our tradition since before we got married to go out to breakfast on Sunday's after Church. TDY's, Illness and/or Weather have been the only excuses allowed for skipping, prior to Miss B's arrival. However, as mentioned above...well, let's just say health and welfare of a Grandchild and her Mother take precedence. But, this week, we were granted Papal Dispensation for a good reason.
I mentioned last week, that we had a potentially complicated problem with a Winter Storm, potential Power problems and Miss B's support equipment. That problem was rendered solvable with the kind invite of one of our local Blog Readers, Cletus Valvecort. His home has a whole house generator which would (probably literally) be a lifesaver should power go out in the area. He invited us to come stay with he and his wife if that should happen.
Fortunately, that option did not need to be exercised as our power never went out. Other folks in the general vicinity were not so lucky. But, somebody upstairs was looking out for the juvat clan.
Thank you.
However, given the reduction in blood pressure that occurred on receiving that offer, Mrs. J and I felt we needed to show our gratitude as well as meet these folks Friends face to face.
So, we treated them to breakfast at our usual, pre-conundrum*, restaurant. Arrangement was made to meet at 8:30ish (depending on the Sermon Verbosity of our Priest) yesterday. Rendezvous went off without a hitch and shortly after sitting down we were swapping war stories as if we'd been friends for years.
Regular Blog Reader and Commenter, John Blackshoe had commented last week that he bet Cletus was a Native Texan. As Cletus stated in his reply, he is a fifth generation Texan. Upon querying him for more details, he related that the original two sides of the family had arrived and settled in the South East corner of the state in the late 1830's, early 1840's. For those not willing to do the research that would be a couple of years after the Alamo, but before it became the 28th State. In other words, when Texas was an independent Country. His family were cattle ranchers and fishermen. He shared the family stories that had been handed down from the time...I found them fascinating. Brought my High School Texas History to life. Really wonderful. His own career was in the oil industry and he had spent some time in Germany where he met his bride. Very nice folks with good stories. We spent quite a while sipping coffee after breakfast.
Don't worry, Beans, the waitresses were (more than) adequately compensated.
All in all, a wonderful morning. Hope yours was as well.
*Pre-Conundrum. Started sometime after the Covid BS started and seems to be ending with LJW and Miss B requiring less and less close assistance.
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| PZL-P.11C "For Pawel" Source |
Sunday, February 12, 2023
Waiting ...
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| (Source) |
Saturday, February 11, 2023
Speaking of Paintings ...
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| The Battle of Arcole Bridge in 1796 Emile Jean Horacle Vernet (Source) |
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| Troopers of the 12th Dragoons Guarding the Emperor Painting by Édouard Detaille |
Enjoy.
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| Coronation |
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| British 15th Light Dragoons at Sahagún |
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| Lasalle, Beau Sabreur |
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| Young Bonaparte |
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| Marshal Louis-Nicolas Davout The Emperor's Finest Soldier |
| Louis Lepic, Colonel of the Grenadiers à Cheval of the Imperial Guard at Eylau "Heads up! Those are bullets, not turds!" |
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| The Polish Charge at Somosierra |
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| Wellington at Waterloo, the Emperor's Last Battle |
It was not, not even remotely.












































































